T.D. 15 dissipates

The last advisory on Tropical Depression Fifteen was issued this evening.


Tropical Storm Karen headed for the U.S., T.D. 14 becomes Tropical Storm Melissa, T.D. 14-E forms

Tropical Storm Karen’s latest track has it headed for the U.S. as a minor tropical storm. One model has Karen off New England as a hurricane. T.D. 14-E formed in the East Pacific as T.D. 14L in the Atlantic became Melissa. Talk about a coincidence.

Lorenzo dissipates, Karen barely a tropical storm, Melissa to form tomorrow?

The final advisory on Tropical Depression Lorenzo was issued this evening at 5:00. Also Karen is down to 40 mph, but there is some bad news: Karen’s projected path takes it toward the United States by 4 to 5 days. Also, T.D. 14 has formed off of Africa and is expected to become Tropical Storm Melissa tomorrow.

Hurricane Humberto II: Hurricane Lorenzo

Lorenzo has taken Humberto’s record and has gone from depression to hurricane in 7 hours. It’s 2005 all over again.

“Wow, I think that’s a new record” – Hayate Gekko, Naruto the Abridged Series 16

Karen weakens; Lorenzo nearly a hurricane

What a difference a day makes. This time yesterday, it was Karen that was going to become a hurricane and T.D. 13 to only become a tropical storm, now it’s Lorenzo about to become a hurricane and Karen the one that’s going to remain a tropical storm.

Karen and TD Thirteen

Tropical Storm Karen formed this morning in the eastern atlantic, and is currently a minor tropical storm with winds of only 40 mph. Also at 5:15 PM CDT, a special advisory was issued for Tropical Depression Thirteen in the Gulf of Mexico.


Four tropical cyclones in less than a week.


There is a low pressure area in the eastern Atlantic that looks very organized and may become Tropical Storm Karen over the next few days. If so, this will be the first “K” name since Katrina.


Subtropical Depression Eleven has been upgraded to Subtropical Storm Jerry.  Winds are up to 40 mph, pressure down to 1005 mb.

S.T.D 11 forms in the northeast Atlantic; Ivo may dissipate later today

The second Subtropical system in 72 hours has formed in the Northeast Atlantic. Here’s a rundown:

  • 36.2 North, 46.1 West
  • 1060 miles West of the Azores
  • Currently stationery, expected to turn toward the north tonight.
  • Maximum Sustained Winds are 30 knots, or 35 miles per hour.
  • Could become a Tropical or Subtropical Storm later today.
  • Estimated Minimal Central Pressure at 1007 millibars.

Tropical Depression Ivo is forecast to possibly impact the Baja Peninsula as a Remnant Low. Ivo has sure become badly organized in the last couple of days. I remember that the day it was named, I thought it was going to at least bottom out as a Category 2 or 3, but the conditions sure as heck weren’t favorable for that.

UPDATE 9:49 AM – The Tropical Storm Watch for the Baja Peninsula was also canceled. I wonder why :p

Ivo on it’s last legs

Ivo has weakened to 45 mph as of the most recent advisory and I honestly don’t think it is going to hold up much longer. I’m thinking it will dissipate before reaching the Baja Peninsula. Also there is a very organized low in the northeast atlantic that will probably be the 4th subtropical storm of the season to form.

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